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NWS Wind Chill Advisory (Ashe County)

Current Conditions
Jefferson

Temp: 23.6°F
Printer Friendly View
Jefferson , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Saturday, February 13, 2016 at 9:59AM

Frozen!

Elsa is struggling to control her emotions today. The kingdom is frozen. Expect falling temperatures and impressive wind this morning. Skies clear later today and winds gradually settle, but temperatures continue to fall. Tonight will be frigid. Wind chills today will range from the -30s on mountaintops to the -10s in valleys. Clouds reclaim the region Sunday with only slight temperature moderation. Light snow develops Sunday evening. Snow continues into Monday; however, precipitation will change to a wintry mix (sleet and freezing rain) and then to just rain Monday from SW to NE. (PS: My granddaughter, Amelia, assisted in writing the introduction this morning.)

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Saturday

Hi: 15 Lo: 6

Clearing skies; Falling temps; NW wind 20-30 mph with early AM gusts to 60 mph, becoming 5-15 mph tonight
Sunday

Hi: 24 Lo: 19

Frigid start to the day; Lots of clouds; Snow developing Sun. night; SE wind 5-15 mph (gusty up top Sun. night)
Monday

Hi: 33 Lo: 32

Cloudy; Snow changing to a wintry mix and then to rain; Gradually rising temperatures Mon. night; SE wind 5-15 mph (but South 20-30 mph & gusty at highest elevations)
Tuesday

Hi: 43 Lo: 30

Lots of clouds; Maybe some early drizzle; Snow showers or flurries possible Tue. night
Wednesday

Hi: 40 Lo: 25

Lots of clouds; Cannot rule out snow showers or flurries

Further Out

Thursday - Scattered clouds; Seasonal temperatures; High in the lower 40s; Low in the mid 20s
Friday - Milder temperatures; Increasing PM clouds; High in the upper 40s; Low in the mid 30s

Forecast Discussion

Wow! wind and cold are the weather items of most importance today. We recorded 64 mph wind gust atop our offices in the LifeStore Building in Boone this morning. Temperatures are falling and will continue to do so through this evening. If you must be outside today, you know... Windchills are at dangerous levels: -10s in valleys and -30s on mountaintops.

The Arctic blast is courtesy of high pressure centered in Iowa. And yesterday's low, strengthening rapidly in the NW Atlantic. Speaking of that low... It performed as expected yesterday producing light snow; however, marginal temperatures and filtered sun at times prevented snow accumulation below 3500' ruining our light accumulations forecast.

Low pressure develops in Texas Sunday then moves into the Southeast Monday and up the spine of the Appalachians Monday night. That easterly track will preclude a big snow, but that does not mean "no trouble". Clouds overtake the region Sunday and light snow develops Sunday night. Snow continues into Monday with moderate accumulations. Precipitation changes over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain from SW to NE Monday afternoon and evening; then to rain. The last to change over to rain in our region will be areas right along the Blue Ridge in Alleghany County, NC. Temperatures rise overnight Monday, and rain ends early Tuesday morning.

In the middle of next week, we have a couple of disturbance in the NW flow behind Monday's low. One reaching us Tuesday night with snow showers. Another one is possible Wednesday night with snow showers or flurries. Temperatures Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning will be cold, but not extreme.

Elsa evidently performs some act of true love later next week. Temperatures moderate Thursday afternoon into Friday with more sun.

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