Current Conditions
Phillips Gap

Temp: 38.3°F

Forecast Last Updated at Tuesday, January 28, 2020 at 5:38PM

A Ski Snow

Monday was a Skier's and Snowboarder's snow with light to moderate snow on the mountaintops and nothing in most valley locations. So you could drive around the region and only encounter snow at higher elevations.

Clouds hang tough tonight and Wednesday. Temperatures are chilly. Another disturbance moves through late Wednesday with evening flurries becoming light snow overnight. Snow showers and flurries linger into Thursday morning. Computer guidance still diverges for Friday and Saturday. I kept the forecast in the middle of the road with rain/mix forecast Friday night and Saturday changing to snow showers before ending Saturday night.

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Mostly cloudy
Temperatures near 35
Light wind

Tuesday Hi: 47 Lo: 29 Lots of clouds; Chilly; NW wind 5-15 mph

Wednesday Hi: 42 Lo: 32 Generally cloudy; Evening flurries going to light snow overnight; Light wind

Thursday Hi: 40 Lo: 31 Mostly cloudy; AM snow showers and flurries; Chilly; Light wind

Friday Hi: 42 Lo: 35 Increasing clouds; Wintry mix Fri. night

Saturday Hi: 42 Lo: 33 Cloudy; Rain or wintry mix changing to snow showers

Further Out

Sunday - Mostly clear; Milder; High in the upper 40s; Low near 40 degrees
Monday - Increasing PM clouds; Much milder; Rain Mon. night; High near 60 degrees; Low in the lower 40s

Forecast Discussion

We have been eyeing this week for a long time as a challenging forecast period. It may disappoint for snow lovers, but it's not disappointing for forecast challenges. Yesterday was just the first of three disturbances to contend with.

We have a fast flow from west to east with surface lows in the Gulf and upper-level disturbances moving across the Southeast. There's no Arctic air to work with, leaving us in this tough middle ground. As I wrote last weekend, each system will be unknowable until we "see the whites of their eyes".

While clouds hang tough, we have a break in precipitation through late Wednesday. Chilly temperatures are in place.

The next disturbance arrives Wednesday night. We have slightly colder air, and the cover of darkness gives light accumulations a fighting chance. Expect Wednesday evening flurries becoming light snow, ending as snow showers and flurries Thursday morning. Up to 1" is possible; however, expect no more than a dusting and you will not be disappointed.

Then another brief break comes Thursday afternoon through the daytime Friday. Chilly temperatures continue.

Computer guidance still varies greatly on timing and track. Detailed speculations is a silly exercise at this point. So, our forecast is simply for a wintry mix Friday night, rain or a wintry mix for the daytime Saturday, and then snow showers Saturday night.

Whatever happens Friday and Saturday, a quick warmup is a sure bet Sunday into Monday. The next system may arrive by Monday night with rain.

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