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Current Conditions

Temp: 72.9°F
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Warrensville , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, August 21, 2014 at 6:35PM

Evening Storms

A line of showers and storms in far SW Virginia will move into the High Country of NC and SW VA this evening with a brief period of heavy rain and gusty winds. Once the line moves east, we expect decreasing clouds after Midnight with patchy fog.

A warm ridge of high pressure is in the Southeast is drifting west into the middle of the country. Friday will be a degree or two warmer than today and a stray afternoon thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. A backdoor front moves south through the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday adding clouds and precipitation to our weekend.

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Hi: 82 Lo: 64

Evening showers & t-storms (mainly Watauga County north), then decreasing clouds; NW wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 84 Lo: 64

Scattered clouds; Warm; Cannot rule out an afternoon t-shower; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty at times

Hi: 80 Lo: 63

Generally cloudy; Spotty daytime showers or t-showers; Occasional rain & drizzle Sat. night with fog; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty in the AM, becoming East 5-10 mph Sat. night

Hi: 75 Lo: 63

Cloudy with some fog; Cooler; Spotty light rain or drizzle

Hi: 74 Lo: 61

Cloudy with AM fog & drizzle possible; Maybe an afternoon peek of sun; Decreasing clouds Mon. night; Cool for late August

Further Out

Tuesday - Mostly to partly cloudy; A step warmer; High in the upper 70s; Low in the lower 60s
Wednesday - Scattered clouds; Pleasant; High in the upper 70s; Low in the upper 50s

Forecast Discussion

The NW flow aloft that has been in place over the last day or two continues to allow clusters of showers and storms to drop SE out of the Ohio Valley and into parts of western NC / SW VA. We had one such line move through Wednesday morning and another is headed our way this evening. While it is weakening, we do expect parts of the High Country to be impacted, especially from Watauga County north. Look for a brief round of heavy rain, gusty winds, and lightning. Areas south of Watauga County may escape the brunt of this cluster.

The weather pattern is in transition mode with a warm ridge in the Southeast muscling west into the middle of the U. S. The Mississippi River Valley will be baking on high heat for the next several days. We'll get another taste of that cooking tomorrow in greatly modified form. Expect classic summer weather (and it's been hard to find "classic summer" this summer) Friday--warm with isolated mostly PM thundershowers.

As that ridge shifts west, an opening is created for a front to move south down the Atlantic Coast. It will move through the Carolinas Friday night and Saturday. High pressure in the Northeast will nose down the east side of the Appalachians. Saturday will be transition day--a few degrees less warm with more clouds and scattered mostly afternoon thundershowers. Saturday night, cooler air and clouds will take over with some fog and periods of rain (mostly light).

Sunday through Monday morning will be cloudy and cool for late August. Spotty light rain and drizzle will be around with fog. The west side of the Appalachians will be nicer/drier/warmer than the east. (It will be soupy along the Blue Ridge at times.) We'll begin to break out of the soup late Monday.

Tuesday and Wednesday will have more sun with seasonal temperatures. Computer guidance still has a tropical system, but today in the Western Atlantic--still anyone's guess at this point and not a direct factor in our weather.


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