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NWS Flood Watch (Ashe County)

Current Conditions
W. Jefferson

Temp: 59.8°F
Printer Friendly View
West Jefferson , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, April 19, 2015 at 1:28PM

Sunday Soaker

At least we had one nice weather day this weekend. Today is an indoor day--clouds, cooler, rain, heavy at times. Rain will taper off late tonight. Monday has a some dry hours; however, showers and thunderstorms are likely in the afternoon and evening as a front moves through from the west. Tuesday and Wednesday look seasonal and generally dry (but a stray shower cannot be completely ruled out Wednesday afternoon).

It's my second favorite time of year (eclipsed only by Christmas!)... Merlefest week. It's four days of music on unbelievable scales for variety, quality, and just plain fun. Check the Lineup for details. Weather for the event looks very good overall... Temperatures will be cooler than average. Evenings will require blankets for comfort. Showers are possible Thursday evening and Saturday--otherwise very nice. Here are the weather details in our Merlefest Hour-By-Hour Forecast.

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Hi: 62 Lo: 53

Rain, heavy at times, tapering off late tonight; Some fog; Steady temps; SE wind 5-15 mph, but 20-30 mph at higher elev's

Hi: 69 Lo: 44

Mostly cloudy; PM showers & thunderstorms likely; SW wind 5-15 mph, becoming NW 10-20 mph Mon. night

Hi: 58 Lo: 37

AM fog; Becoming mostly clear; Cooler; NW wind 10-20 mph

Hi: 62 Lo: 45

Increasing PM clouds; Cannot rule out an afternoon shower

Hi: 56 Lo: 35

Mostly cloudy; Widely scattered mostly PM showers; Cooler

Further Out

Friday - Partly cloudy; Cool; High in the mid 50s; Low in the upper 30s
Saturday - Clouds; Cool; Showers likely; High in the lower 50s; Low near 40 degrees

Forecast Discussion

The two impressive items in the coming week are: 1) today's rain and 2) the late-week cool-down.

Today, a front is located from South Carolina to the Mid-Mississippi Valley. It will move slowly north today and tonight. Low pressure is in the Mid-Mississippi Valley moving toward the Great Lakes. Tons of tropical moisture is being drawn out of the Gulf. The result today is a pretty simple forecast--clouds, rain, cool temperatures. Rain will be heaviest this afternoon and evening, then taper off late tonight.

Monday, the front will be well to our north; however, a cold front will approach and move through from the west in the afternoon. We'll have some dry morning hours with partial sun. Scattered showers and thunderstorms arrive Monday afternoon and evening.

Tuesday and Wednesday will be uneventful with high pressure over the region. Temperatures will be near seasonal norms. I cannot rule out an afternoon shower Wednesday.

The next cold front moves through from the west Thursday. Moisture is limited with the front; however, generally cloudy skies are expected with a few showers possible. Temperatures will become noticeably cooler.

Friday has mostly clear skies but cool temperatures. Low pressure approaches from the southwest Saturday with clouds and showers. Temperatures will be impressively cool under the clouds Saturday.


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