Current Conditions
W. Jefferson

Temp: 39.9°F

Forecast Last Updated at Tuesday, November 13, 2018 at 12:24PM

Heaven or Headaches

If this week is indicative of the winter season at-large skiers/boarders are going to be in heaven. School administrators... we wish you all our best. It's not that we're looking at a big snow anytime soon, but we're already seeing cold air colliding with an active southeastern storm track and it's only mid-November.

One low zips up the East Coast today as a cold front moves in this evening. Expect occasional light rain today with falling afternoon temperatures. A few wet flakes could mix-in tonight before we temporarily dry out. Rain returns Wednesday afternoon changing to a wintry mix of freezing rain/sleet around midnight and continuing into Thursday morning. Daytime temperatures get above freezing Thursday so it will change to all rain and generally taper off by early afternoon. As colder air pushes through Thursday night on a northwest flow light snow or snow showers develop and linger into early Friday morning. It's a tricky set-up so refining the details is a challenge even 48-hours out, but make a mental note that Thursday morning will be a mess until we get above freezing.

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Sunny
Pleasant, Low 50s
NW wind 5-15 mph

Tuesday Hi: 51 Lo: 29 Cloudy; Occasional light rain, possibly ending as a few flakes at night; Falling PM temps; NW wind 5-15 mph

Wednesday Hi: 42 Lo: 30 Generally cloudy; Rain developing in the afternoon & overnight; Becoming a wintry mix around midnight Wed night; East wind 5-15 mph, becoming gusty at higher elev's late Wed. night

Thursday Hi: 38 Lo: 29 Cloudy; Sleet and freezing rain changing to rain by noon and ending; Light snow late Thur night; East wind 5-15 mph, but NW 10-20 mph & gusty at night

Friday Hi: 43 Lo: 29 Early clouds with AM light snow possible; Afternoon breaks in the clouds; Windy

Saturday Hi: 53 Lo: 31 Lots of sunshine; Nicest day of the week

Further Out

Sunday - Mostly sunny; A tad cooler; High in the lower 50s; Low near 30 degrees
Monday - More afternoon clouds; Still pleasant, but another step cooler; High in the upper 40s; Low near 30 degrees

Forecast Discussion

Let's start here- this upcoming weekend is relatively nice with ample sunshine and pleasant temperatures. There are no threats to appreciable outdoor fun.

However, through Friday morning it's overall quite messy. Occasional light rain, more of a nuisance really than anything else plagues the region today. A cold front moves through this afternoon and temperatures drop. Some wet flakes are possible tonight as the tail end of the moisture moves east.

Wednesday, chilly high pressure situated over the Lower Great Lakes begins to wedge down the eastern slopes of the Appalachians. Meanwhile a low moves north from the Gulf. Rain returns Wednesday afternoon changing to a wintry mix late Wednesday night and continuing into Thursday morning. Accumulating freezing rain is a concern, especially areas adjacent to the Blue Ridge Parkway. Temperatures get above freezing by midday so it all changes to rain and tapers off in the afternoon as the low pulls away.

Thursday night, colder air drains into the region on a gusty northwest flow. Light snow or snow showers develop late and continue into Friday morning. Clouds decrease Friday afternoon as temperatures get "comfortably" above freezing.

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