NWS Winter Storm Warning (Ashe County)

Current Conditions
W. Jefferson

Temp: 30.3°F

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 5:59PM

East vs. West

More widespread rain returns tonight and for those locations still below freezing this evening expect freezing rain until midnight. That would be most spots in Watauga, Ashe, Alleghany, and Grayson counties. Warm air aloft will finally translate down to elevations below 3500' during this time frame. We are seeing the warming taking place with evening temperatures for some of the mountaintops now in the low 40's. So, after midnight temperatures rise everywhere ensuring "plain ole' rain" with no problems anticipated for the morning travels. Monday will be milder with periods of rain.

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Sunday Hi: 31 Lo: 27 Foggy; Freezing rain until midnight turning to all rain as temps rise; SE wind 5-10 mph (except SW 15-25 mph & gusty up top)

Monday Hi: 51 Lo: 36 Cloudy; Rain showers, but a lull in the late afternoon & evening; SW wind 5-15 mph (but gusting to 40 mph at higher elev's)

Tuesday Hi: 41 Lo: 26 Clouds; Turning colder; Light rain ending as flurries in the early afternoon; Decreasing PM clouds; NW wind 5-15 mph becoming 10-20 mph at night with gusts to 40 mph

Wednesday Hi: 43 Lo: 23 Mostly clear; Chilly

Thursday Hi: 37 Lo: 23 Mostly clear; Not quite as cold, but cold

Further Out

Friday - Mostly clear start; Increasing PM clouds; Still rather cold; High near 40 degrees; Low in the mid 20s
Saturday - Mostly cloudy; Chance of light rain or light wintry mix in the PM; High in the upper 30s; Low near 30 degrees

Forecast Discussion

Cold high pressure yesterday settled down into the Southern Appalachians Saturday. Low pressure is moving across the Southeast today spreading warm/moist air over the top of cold air at the surface. The result was a cloudy, cold day with intermittent rain (far western sections of the Southern Appalachians), freezing rain changing to rain for the middle, and freezing rain changing to rain late tonight for the eastern edge of the mountains right along the Blue Ridge in NC. Damaging ice accumulations will be mostly limited to that eastern edge where .25" of ice accumulation is likely before a transition to rain (and up to .50" from Alleghany Co NC and to the north).

Monday will be much milder with a front approaching from the west. Expect clouds and rain showers. The front will pass through in the afternoon and we'll have a lull in the rain Monday evening.

A trailing wave of low pressure will pass through the Southeast Tuesday. We'll have another round of rain late Monday night into Tuesday morning. Colder air wraps in behind this low; so, Tuesday will have steady or slowly falling temperatures. Precipitation may end as snow flurries later Tuesday morning. Clouds decrease Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Wednesday through Friday will be dry and seasonably cold. The core of this cold outbreak arrives Wednesday night making Thursday the coldest day of the trio.

Computer guidance varies greatly by Friday with the handling of the next low to move across the Southeast. We'll split the difference today with a chance of light rain or a light wintry mix Saturday afternoon/evening.

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