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Current Conditions
Old Orchard Creek

Temp: 47.6°F
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Old Orchard Creek , NC
Weather Station at Old Orchard Creek Farm.

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 12:41PM

Milder Afternoon; Blustery Late Tonight

We woke to a temperature inversion with ridges 15-17 degrees warmer than valleys. Milder is the direction today, but a disturbance in the NW flow will make for a noisy late-night. There will be more clouds today and few flurries or some drizzle/freezing drizzle are possible late tonight at higher elevations along the western escarpment. Wind settles down Monday afternoon and skies clear. We get a small bump in temperatures this afternoon. Tuesday and Wednesday will be warmer. The next rain arrives late Wednesday night. A quick-hitting system produces a little winter weather next weekend; see details in the Discussion Section.

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Hi: 53 Lo: 31

More clouds; Drizzle or flurries possible late tonight; SW wind 5-15 mph, becoming NW 15-25 mph late tonight with gusts to 45 mph

Hi: 50 Lo: 30

Brief early flurries or drizzle possible, then clearing skies; Cool; NW wind 15-25 mph with early gusts to 45 mph, becoming light in the afternoon

Hi: 55 Lo: 35

Mostly clear day; More clouds Tue. night; Relatively pleasant; South wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 59 Lo: 43

Lots of clouds; Light rain late Wed. night

Hi: 60 Lo: 35

Cloudy AM with light rain; Light rain ends early afternoon then decreasing clouds; Mild temperatures

Further Out

Friday - Becoming cloudy; Rain possible in the PM, mostly east; Becoming colder Fri. night with precip possibly changing to snow showers; High in the mid 50s; Low in the upper 20s
Saturday - Generally cloudy; Snow showers or light rain changing to snow showers; Turning colder; Blustery; High in the upper 30s; Low in the upper teens

Forecast Discussion

Low pressure is developing off the South Carolina Coast, but moving east. A surge of slightly colder air arrives late tonight in a strong NW flow. We have a milder Sunday afternoon with more clouds. Higher elevations along the western escarpment may see flurries or snow showers late tonight ending early Monday morning. All of us will feel the wind--blustery from the NW late tonight and Monday morning.

As high pressure rebuilds into the Southeast, Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday will be milder--relatively pleasant for early February.

Low pressure in East Texas Wednesday moves into the Ohio Valley Thursday with an associated front that remains to our west through Thursday. Clouds increase Wednesday and rain (mostly light) develops late Wednesday night, lasting through Thursday morning. Rain tapers off early Thursday afternoon with partial sunshine possible by late-day. Temperatures remain relatively mild.

Our weather Friday and Saturday is rather complex. A front moves through Friday morning and we get a break in precipitation. Colder air remains to our west with a front in the Tennessee River Valley. A surge of moisture heads up the Carolina Coast but the western extent of that moisture is in question. We left a mention or rain in the Friday afternoon and overnight forecast just in case.

Then timing and intensity of cold air arriving from the west is also in question. So, we mention a changeover to snow showers possible later Friday night, but that might not happen to Saturday. By hook or by crook, Saturday has snow showers and flurries in a strong NW flow. Accumulations per usual favor west over east.


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