Forecast Last Updated at Friday, September 17, 2021 at 5:36PM

Grey & Humid; More Unsettled Tomorrow

Tropical air overtook the Southeast this week, but in NW NC we lack triggers to produce much rain through tonight. Slightly warmer temperatures Saturday and Sunday may slightly increase shower coverage. Each day, showers (maybe thunder) are most likely in the afternoon. Do your outdoor stuff but have a plan for that afternoon shower. Coverage may tick up again Monday. Then a midweek front will be the game-changer.

I have been remiss in not mentioning the Mayview Madness 5K in Blowing Rock Saturday morning. I'll be there Saturday at 8 AM ready to "toe the line". Run, walk, jog (whatever you are up to) and support the Blue Ridge Conservancy in the process! It's always a fun event and a beautiful course.

After a 2.5 year wait, MerleFest.org is running through Sunday afternoon in Wilkesboro, NC. RaysWeather.Com is the official forecast source for the festival. Our Hour-by-Hour Forecast is now available. It will be updated daily from now through the end of Merlefest.

The 2022 Blue Ridge Calendar Pre-Publication Sale is underway. We sold out last year in early December. Reserve yours now at the lowest price--25% off when you buy at least 2 calendars plus free shipping for purchases of 10 calendars or more. The calendars are being printed now and will arrive in a couple weeks. We'll begin shipping around September 24. The Pre-Publication Sale ends September 22. See RaysMarketplace.Com for details and to purchase calendars. Like last year, a portion of every sale goes to the Blue Ridge Conservancy.

Friday Hi: 74 Lo: 62 Lots of clouds; Slight chance of an evening shower; Light East wind

Saturday Hi: 78 Lo: 63 Mostly cloudy with some early fog; Widely scattered showers and thundershowers, mostly in the PM; Light East wind

Sunday Hi: 76 Lo: 63 Lots of clouds, maybe some early fog; Widely scattered, mostly PM showers and thundershowers; SE wind 5-10 mph, becoming light

Monday Hi: 72 Lo: 63 Mostly cloudy; Widely scattered mostly PM showers and t-showers

Tuesday Hi: 70 Lo: 61 Generally cloudy; Increasing coverage of showers and t-showers

Further Out

Wednesday - Generally cloudy; Showers and t-showers ending during the evening; Heavy rain possible; Decreasing clouds Wed. night; High near 70 degrees; Low near 50 degrees
Thursday - Clearing skies; Cooler but pleasant Fall weather; High in the upper 60s; Low in the upper 40s

Forecast Discussion

Tropical air invaded the Southeast this week, but triggering mechanisms are lacking. Nicholas's remnant remains in Louisiana. Tropical Storm Odette is northeast of Cape Hatteras moving north. A front, that approached from the north yesterday, faded off the map.

So, expect lots of clouds, especially early mornings and in the afternoons. Slightly warmer temperatures may increase shower (maybe thunder) coverage slightly Saturday and Sunday.

Monday has lots of clouds and may have increased shower coverage, but I held the line for "widely scattered" for now.

A front moves through from the northwest Wednesday evening. Fall begins Wednesday afternoon and cooler temperatures arrive right on time. With the approach and passage of the front shower and thundershower coverage increases significantly. All this tropical moisture will finally be dropped on hour heads. Periods of heavy rain are possible. I'm not sure if Tuesday or Wednesday will be the wetter of the two days.

Clearing skies commence Wednesday night. We'll be in Canadian air Thursday instead of tropical air. The change will be pretty dramatic.

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